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Drew Angerer/Getty; Samantha Lee/Business Insider
  • With four days until the election, former Vice President Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump by about 9 percentage points in national polls and by single digits in most battleground states.
  • Trump is ahead of Biden by just 1 percentage point in Ohio, which he won by 8 points in 2016, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average. 
  • As Trump’s lost support among Ohio’s white working class and college-educated voters, the state’s become a toss-up. 
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Four days out from Election Day, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump by about 9 percentage points in national polls and by single digits in most battleground states.

We’re tracking national and state polling on the presidential race with daily updates on the most notable trendlines.

Here are today’s numbers to pay attention to: 

  • Ohio — a state Trump won by 8 percentage points in 2016 — is looking closer than ever, with Trump just 1 point ahead of Biden, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.
  • Ohio has looked increasingly good for Biden. The Cook Political Report moved the state from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican” in June and then to “toss-up” status last month. FiveThirtyEight is also calling the state a toss-up. 
  • Since 2016, the president has lost significant support among the state’s white working class voters and among college-educated white voters, particularly in the suburbs.
  • These numbers are particularly concerning for Trump, who doesn’t have a path to 270 electoral votes without Ohio, which has 18 electoral votes. 
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